Sheep And Goat Meat Market

The article provides a detailed analysis of the global sheep and goat meat market, forecasting an increase in consumption trends over the next eight years. Key points include market performance, production levels, import and export statistics, top consuming and producing countries, and trends in prices. China leads in both consumption and production, while Australia and New Zealand dominate exports. Lamb and sheep meat are the main products in both consumption and production, with steady growth in market size and value. Overall, the market is expected to see gradual growth in the immediate future.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sheep and goat meat worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 19M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of -3.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $164.6B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sheep And Goat Meat

After ten years of growth, consumption of sheep and goat meat decreased by -1.1% to 16M tons in 2022. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 16M tons in 2021, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

The global sheep and goat meat market revenue shrank modestly to $225.7B in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at $226.2B in 2021, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

China (5.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of sheep and goat meat consumption, comprising approx. 33% of total volume. Moreover, sheep and goat meat consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (819K tons), sevenfold. Pakistan (753K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 4.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +2.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+1.0% per year) and Pakistan (+5.6% per year).

In value terms, China ($52B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Pakistan ($4.9B). It was followed by India.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in China stood at +4.3%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Pakistan (+7.5% per year) and India (+1.2% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of sheep and goat meat per capita consumption was registered in Mongolia (86 kg per person), followed by Chad (19 kg per person), Sudan (8.3 kg per person) and Algeria (7.9 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of sheep and goat meat was estimated at 2 kg per person.

In Mongolia, sheep and goat meat per capita consumption increased at an average annual rate of +6.9% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Chad (+2.7% per year) and Sudan (+0.8% per year).

Consumption By Type

The products with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were lamb and sheep meat (10M tons) and goat meat (6.4M tons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for lamb and sheep meat (with a CAGR of +2.0%).

In value terms, lamb and sheep meat ($77.1B) and goat meat ($47.5B) appeared to be the products with the highest levels of market value in 2022.

In terms of the main consumed products, lamb and sheep meat, with a CAGR of +3.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review.

Production

World Production of Sheep And Goat Meat

In 2022, after ten years of growth, there was decline in production of sheep and goat meat, when its volume decreased by -1.2% to 16M tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 2.7% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 16M tons in 2021, and then contracted modestly in the following year. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by slight growth of the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

In value terms, sheep and goat meat production stood at $119.8B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 24% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $121B in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (5M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of sheep and goat meat production, comprising approx. 31% of total volume. Moreover, sheep and goat meat production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (831K tons), sixfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Pakistan (757K tons), with a 4.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China stood at +2.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+1.0% per year) and Pakistan (+5.3% per year).

Production By Type

The products with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were lamb and sheep meat (10M tons) and goat meat (6.4M tons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for lamb and sheep meat (with a CAGR of +1.8%).

In value terms, lamb and sheep meat ($77.1B) and goat meat ($51.7B) appeared to be the products with the highest levels of production in 2022.

In terms of the main produced products, goat meat, with a CAGR of +4.2%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review.

Yield

In 2022, the global average sheep and goat meat yield reduced to 15 kg per head, remaining relatively unchanged against 2021. Overall, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 1.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average sheep and goat meat yield attained the peak level at 15 kg per head in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Producing Animals

In 2022, global number of animals slaughtered for sheep and goat meat production declined to 1.1B heads, remaining relatively unchanged against 2021. This number increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the number of producing animals increased by 4.6%. Over the period under review, this number hit record highs at 1.1B heads in 2021, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

Imports

World Imports of Sheep And Goat Meat

In 2022, global imports of sheep and goat meat amounted to 1.3M tons, surging by 4.8% on 2021. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 19% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, sheep and goat meat imports rose sharply to $9.8B in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +32.4% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 21% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

China was the largest importing country with an import of about 358K tons, which amounted to 28% of total imports. The United States (165K tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 13% share, followed by France (9%) and the United Arab Emirates (4.9%). The UK (56K tons), Malaysia (43K tons), Germany (41K tons), the Netherlands (33K tons), Canada (31K tons), South Korea (27K tons), Italy (26K tons), Qatar (24K tons) and Japan (22K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to sheep and goat meat imports into China stood at +11.2%. At the same time, South Korea (+17.8%), Malaysia (+7.7%), the United States (+7.7%), the Netherlands (+6.7%), Canada (+5.9%), the United Arab Emirates (+3.4%), Japan (+2.7%) and Germany (+2.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, South Korea emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +17.8% from 2012-2022. France, Italy and Qatar experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the UK (-4.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of China (+15 p.p.), the United States (+4.6 p.p.) and South Korea (+1.6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of France (-2.2 p.p.) and the UK (-4.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest sheep and goat meat importing markets worldwide were China ($2.1B), the United States ($1.6B) and France ($926M), together comprising 47% of global imports. The United Arab Emirates, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, Malaysia, Canada, South Korea, Japan, Italy and Qatar lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 32%.

South Korea, with a CAGR of +25.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

Lamb and sheep meat dominates imports structure, accounting for 1.2M tons, which was near 95% of total imports in 2022. It was distantly followed by goat meat (61K tons), mixing up a 4.8% share of total imports.

Lamb and sheep meat was also the fastest-growing in terms of imports, with a CAGR of +3.1% from 2012 to 2022. Goat meat experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. While the share of lamb and sheep meat (+1.7 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of goat meat (-1.7 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, lamb and sheep meat ($9.2B) constitutes the largest type of sheep and goat meat imported worldwide, comprising 96% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by goat meat ($403M), with a 4.2% share of global imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the value of lamb and sheep meat imports stood at +5.3%.

Import Prices By Type

In 2022, the average sheep and goat meat import price amounted to $7,658 per ton, surging by 6.8% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 14%. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major imported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was lamb and sheep meat ($7,600 per ton), while the price for goat meat amounted to $6,611 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by goat meat (+3.0%).

Import Prices By Country

The average sheep and goat meat import price stood at $7,658 per ton in 2022, rising by 6.8% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 14%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($11,705 per ton), while China ($5,802 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Korea (+6.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sheep And Goat Meat

In 2022, global sheep and goat meat exports amounted to 1.3M tons, growing by 4% compared with the previous year's figure. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 14% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, sheep and goat meat exports expanded modestly to $9.5B in 2022. In general, total exports indicated pronounced growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +27.7% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 24%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Australia (481K tons) and New Zealand (375K tons) represented roughly 66% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by the UK (75K tons), achieving a 5.8% share of total exports. The following exporters - Ireland (57K tons), France (56K tons), Spain (49K tons) and the Netherlands (34K tons) - together made up 15% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by France (with a CAGR of +18.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sheep and goat meat supplying countries worldwide were Australia ($3.4B), New Zealand ($2.8B) and the UK ($609M), together accounting for 71% of global exports. Ireland, France, the Netherlands and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 17%.

France, with a CAGR of +19.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Lamb and sheep meat dominates exports structure, resulting at 1.2M tons, which was approx. 95% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by goat meat (60K tons), constituting a 4.6% share of total exports.

Lamb and sheep meat was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of +1.5% from 2012 to 2022. Goat meat experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. The shares of the largest types remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, lamb and sheep meat ($9.1B) remains the largest type of sheep and goat meat supplied worldwide, comprising 96% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by goat meat ($417M), with a 4.4% share of global exports.

For lamb and sheep meat, exports increased at an average annual rate of +5.1% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices By Type

In 2022, the average sheep and goat meat export price amounted to $7,293 per ton, almost unchanged from the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.8%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 19% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $7,340 per ton, leveling off in the following year.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was lamb and sheep meat ($7,373 per ton), while the average price for exports of goat meat totaled $6,914 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by lamb and sheep meat (+3.5%).

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average sheep and goat meat export price amounted to $7,293 per ton, remaining constant against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.8%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average export price increased by 19%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $7,340 per ton, leveling off in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($11,428 per ton), while Spain ($6,507 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Australia (+4.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform