Poland: Rice Market 2022

Rice Market Size in Poland

In 2021, the Polish rice market increased by 17% to $X, rising for the sixth year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a prominent increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.3% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption increased by +65.8% against 2015 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level in 2021 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Rice Production in Poland

In value terms, rice production declined to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the production volume increased by 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2020, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

In 2021, the average yield of rice in Poland amounted to less than X kg per ha, almost unchanged from the previous year. Overall, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the rice harvested area in Poland amounted to less than X ha, remaining stable against the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Rice Exports

Exports from Poland

After six years of growth, shipments abroad of rice decreased by -6.1% to X tons in 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, posted a resilient expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 53% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2020, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, rice exports declined modestly to $X in 2021. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a strong increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when exports increased by 23% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2020, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

Exports by Country

Sweden (X tons), Denmark (X tons) and the Czech Republic (X tons) were the main destinations of rice exports from Poland, with a combined 49% share of total exports. These countries were followed by Finland, Hungary, Germany, Slovakia, Norway, Lithuania and the Netherlands, which together accounted for a further 41%.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Germany (with a CAGR of +52.7%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Sweden ($X), Denmark ($X) and the Czech Republic ($X) constituted the largest markets for rice exported from Poland worldwide, together comprising 45% of total exports. These countries were followed by Germany, Finland, Hungary, Norway, Slovakia, Lithuania and the Netherlands, which together accounted for a further 44%.

Germany, with a CAGR of +59.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average rice export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, almost unchanged from the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2021, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.1%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 an increase of 14%. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2019; afterwards, it flattened through to 2021.

Prices varied noticeably country of destination: the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Lithuania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Germany (+4.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Rice Imports

Imports into Poland

For the seventh year in a row, Poland recorded growth in overseas purchases of rice, which increased by 11% to X tons in 2021. Overall, total imports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +8.2% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +103.5% against 2012 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2021 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, rice imports soared to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, total imports indicated prominent growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.6% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +79.0% against 2013 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when imports increased by 27%. Imports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Myanmar (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of rice to Poland, with a 29% share of total imports. Moreover, rice imports from Myanmar exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Italy (X tons), threefold. The Netherlands (X tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with an 8.6% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume from Myanmar amounted to +137.2%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (-1.1% per year) and the Netherlands (+14.6% per year).

In value terms, Myanmar ($X) constituted the largest supplier of rice to Poland, comprising 25% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Italy ($X), with a 12% share of total imports. It was followed by the Netherlands, with a 9.4% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value from Myanmar stood at +129.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (+1.2% per year) and the Netherlands (+14.5% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the average rice import price amounted to $X per ton, growing by 9% against the previous year. In general, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Lithuania ($X per ton), while the price for Paraguay ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+2.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

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