Kenya: Zinc Market 2024

Zinc Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan zinc market soared to $X in 2021, jumping by 31% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated mild growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption increased by +72.5% against 2019 indices. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Zinc Exports

Exports from Kenya

Zinc exports from Kenya soared to X tons in 2021, growing by 50% on the previous year's figure. In general, exports posted a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 241% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum in 2021 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

In value terms, zinc exports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a strong increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 275% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

India (X tons) was the main destination for zinc exports from Kenya, with a 60% share of total exports. Moreover, zinc exports to India exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Belgium (X tons), fivefold. China (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to India amounted to +40.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Belgium (+19.8% per year) and China (+9.8% per year).

In value terms, India ($X) remains the key foreign market for zinc exports from Kenya, comprising 64% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Uganda ($X), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by Belgium, with a 9.1% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to India totaled +32.5%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (+21.7% per year) and Belgium (+8.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average zinc export price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of 36% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, recorded a noticeable downturn. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uganda ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Taiwan (Chinese) ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Sri Lanka (+10.8%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Zinc Imports

Imports into Kenya

Zinc imports into Kenya skyrocketed to X tons in 2021, growing by 18% against 2020. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 40%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, zinc imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, total imports indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +74.8% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 68% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Australia (X tons), India (X tons) and South Korea (X tons) were the main suppliers of zinc imports to Kenya, together accounting for 75% of total imports. These countries were followed by Belgium, Spain, Germany and Finland, which together accounted for a further 21%.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Germany (with a CAGR of +78.3%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Australia ($X), India ($X) and South Korea ($X) were the largest zinc suppliers to Kenya, with a combined 75% share of total imports. Belgium, Spain, Germany and Finland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 21%.

Among the main suppliers, Germany, with a CAGR of +80.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the average zinc import price amounted to $X per ton, surging by 20% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a noticeable increase from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 an increase of 41% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the highest price was recorded for prices from Belgium ($X per ton) and South Korea ($X per ton), while the price for India ($X per ton) and Finland ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain (+6.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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