Africa: Wheat Market 2022

Wheat Market Size in Africa

In 2021, the African wheat market was finally on the rise to reach $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Over the period under review, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Wheat Production in Africa

In value terms, wheat production reached $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2021, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of wheat production in 2021 were Egypt (X tons), Ethiopia (X tons) and Algeria (X tons), together accounting for X% of total production. Morocco, South Africa, Tunisia and Sudan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Sudan (with a CAGR of +X%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The average wheat yield rose modestly to X tons per ha in 2021, with an increase of less than X% against 2020 figures. Over the period under review, the yield showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the yield increased by X%. Over the period under review, the wheat yield reached the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the total area harvested in terms of wheat production in Africa reached X ha, therefore, remained relatively stable against the year before. In general, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2018 to 2021, the growth of the wheat harvested area remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Wheat Exports

Exports in Africa

In 2021, after two years of growth, there was decline in overseas shipments of wheat, when their volume decreased by less than X% to X tons. Over the period under review, exports saw a abrupt shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, wheat exports reduced slightly to $X in 2021. In general, exports faced a deep reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

South Africa prevails in exports structure, resulting at X tons, which was near X% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Mauritius (X tons), achieving a X% share of total exports. Mozambique (X tons), Senegal (X tons), Sudan (X tons) and Ethiopia (X tons) took a minor share of total exports.

Exports from South Africa decreased at an average annual rate of -X% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Sudan (+X%), Senegal (+X%), Ethiopia (+X%) and Mozambique (+X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Sudan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +X% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Mauritius (-X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Africa (+X p.p.), Sudan (less than X p.p.), Senegal (less than X p.p.), Mozambique (less than X p.p.) and Ethiopia (less than X p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest wheat supplier in Africa, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mauritius ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Senegal, with less than X% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in South Africa stood at -X%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Mauritius (-X% per year) and Senegal (+X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, approximately equating the previous year. In general, the export price showed a mild contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Mauritius ($X per ton), while Ethiopia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mauritius (+X%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Wheat Imports

Imports in Africa

In 2021, imports of wheat in Africa totaled X tons, picking up by less than X% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +X% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked in 2021 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, wheat imports expanded significantly to $X in 2021. In general, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

The countries with the highest levels of wheat imports in 2021 were Nigeria (X tons), Egypt (X tons), Algeria (X tons) and Morocco (X tons), together reaching X% of total import. Sudan (X tons), Tunisia (X tons), Kenya (X tons), South Africa (X tons), Libya (X tons), Ethiopia (X tons), Mozambique (X tons) and Cameroon (X tons) took a little share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were in Nigeria (with a CAGR of +X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Nigeria ($X), Egypt ($X) and Algeria ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2021, together accounting for X% of total imports. These countries were followed by Morocco, Tunisia, Kenya, Sudan, South Africa, Ethiopia, Libya, Cameroon and Mozambique, which together accounted for a further X the main importing countries, Tunisia, with a CAGR of +X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Africa stood at $X per ton in 2021, picking up by X% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, saw a noticeable slump. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Ethiopia ($X per ton), while Mozambique ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ethiopia (+X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

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