Spacecraft Market

The spacecraft market is projected to see a downward trend in consumption and production over the next eight years, with expected decreases in both volume and value terms. Detailed analysis of global consumption, production, imports, and exports trends, including growth rates and top countries involved in the market.

Market Forecast

The spacecraft market is expected to start a downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to decrease slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of -2.4% for the eight-year period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to depress the market volume to 84K units by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of +17.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $14B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Civil Spacecraft, Satellites And Launch Vehicles

In 2022, global spacecraft consumption surged to 101K units, picking up by 139% on 2021. Overall, consumption posted a resilient increase. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

The global spacecraft market value declined dramatically to $3.8B in 2022, which is down by -30.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption enjoyed a noticeable expansion. Global consumption peaked at $39.5B in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were Ireland (51K units) and Malaysia (48K units).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Malaysia (with a CAGR of +133.2%).

In value terms, Malaysia ($1.4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Ireland ($7.4K).

In Malaysia, the spacecraft market increased at an average annual rate of +148.4% over the period from 2012-2022.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the spacecraft per capita consumption in Ireland was relatively modest.

Production

World Production of Civil Spacecraft, Satellites And Launch Vehicles

After two years of decline, production of civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles increased by 594% to 199K units in 2022. Overall, production continues to indicate a prominent increase. As a result, production attained the peak volume and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, spacecraft production reduced rapidly to $551.4B in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production saw a significant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 3,437%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level at $2,033.9B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Ireland (102K units) and France (94K units).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by France (with a CAGR of +88.1%).

Imports

World Imports of Civil Spacecraft, Satellites And Launch Vehicles

In 2022, global spacecraft imports skyrocketed to 214K units, jumping by 1,421% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, imports recorded significant growth. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, spacecraft imports shrank dramatically to $822M in 2022. In general, imports, however, showed a abrupt setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 74%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $2.1B. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Ireland (165K units) was the main importer of civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles, constituting 77% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Malaysia (48K units), generating a 22% share of total imports.

Ireland was also the fastest-growing in terms of the civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles imports, with a CAGR of +1,916.4% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Malaysia (+145.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. While the share of Ireland (+77 p.p.) and Malaysia (+22 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Malaysia ($129M) constitutes the largest market for imported civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles worldwide, comprising 16% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Ireland ($24K), with less than 0.1% share of global imports.

In Malaysia, spacecraft imports expanded at an average annual rate of +110.5% over the period from 2012-2022.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average spacecraft import price amounted to $3,836 per unit, with a decrease of -96.2% against the previous year. In general, the import price continues to indicate a sharp downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when the average import price increased by 524% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $4,975,703 per unit. From 2017 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Malaysia ($2,702 per unit), while Ireland stood at $0.1 per unit.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malaysia (-14.2%).

Exports

World Exports of Civil Spacecraft, Satellites And Launch Vehicles

In 2022, shipments abroad of civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles increased by 66,052% to 312K units, rising for the third year in a row after three years of decline. In general, exports continue to indicate a significant expansion. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, spacecraft exports expanded markedly to $2.1B in 2022. Overall, exports, however, showed a pronounced decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 82%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $5.2B. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Ireland (216K units) was the main exporter of civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles, constituting 69% of total exports. It was distantly followed by France (94K units), achieving a 30% share of total exports.

Ireland experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of civil spacecraft, satellites and launch vehicles. At the same time, France (+123.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, France emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +123.7% from 2012-2022. Ireland (+69 p.p.) and France (+28 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, France ($907M) remains the largest spacecraft supplier worldwide, comprising 44% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Ireland ($13K), with less than 0.1% share of global exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in France amounted to -5.1%.

Export Prices By Country

The average spacecraft export price stood at $6,655 per unit in 2022, falling by -99.8% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a sharp slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the average export price increased by 427%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $28,762,498 per unit. From 2019 to 2022, the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was France ($9,629 per unit), while Ireland totaled $0.1 per unit.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (-57.6%).

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform