Smoked Herring Market

The global market for smoked herring is expected to see an upward consumption trend over the next eight years, with consumption forecasted to reach 111K tons by 2030. In value terms, the market is projected to grow to $492M by 2030. China leads in both consumption and production of smoked herring, with Canada dominating in exports. Import and export prices have shown fluctuations over the years, with China emerging as the fastest-growing exporter. Explore the detailed statistics on consumption, production, imports, and exports to gain a comprehensive understanding of the smoked herring market.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for smoked herring worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.5% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 111K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $492M (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Smoked Herrings

In 2022, consumption of smoked herrings was finally on the rise to reach 106K tons for the first time since 2013, thus ending a eight-year declining trend. Overall, consumption, however, saw a abrupt shrinkage. Global consumption peaked at 227K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global smoked herring market value stood at $407M in 2022, growing by 6.8% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate a abrupt downturn. Global consumption peaked at $821M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of smoked herring consumption was China (25K tons), accounting for 23% of total volume. Moreover, smoked herring consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (12K tons), twofold. India (9.2K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China amounted to -5.7%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (-1.8% per year) and India (-4.9% per year).

In value terms, China ($86M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($40M). It was followed by the United States.

In China, the smoked herring market decreased by an average annual rate of -4.3% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (-3.1% per year) and the United States (-1.5% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of smoked herring per capita consumption was registered in the Dominican Republic (611 kg per 1000 persons), followed by France (83 kg per 1000 persons), Canada (64 kg per 1000 persons) and Japan (38 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of smoked herring was estimated at 14 kg per 1000 persons.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the smoked herring per capita consumption in the Dominican Republic totaled +9.0%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: France (-5.2% per year) and Canada (-1.6% per year).

Production

World Production of Smoked Herrings

After nine years of decline, production of smoked herrings increased by 6.6% to 106K tons in 2022. In general, production, however, showed a abrupt downturn. Global production peaked at 226K tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, smoked herring production expanded to $414M in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, recorded a perceptible descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 33%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $788M. From 2016 to 2022, global production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (26K tons), Canada (16K tons) and the United States (10K tons), with a combined 49% share of global production.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the main producing countries, was attained by Canada (with a CAGR of +0.5%), while production for the other global leaders experienced a decline in the production figures.

Imports

World Imports of Smoked Herrings

In 2022, supplies from abroad of smoked herrings decreased by -15.8% to 18K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 20%. Over the period under review, global imports attained the peak figure at 26K tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, smoked herring imports amounted to $75M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 17%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

The Dominican Republic (7K tons) and France (4.7K tons) represented roughly 66% of total imports in 2022. Haiti (1.5K tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by the United States (1.5K tons). All these countries together held near 17% share of total imports. The following importers - Trinidad and Tobago (506 tons), Italy (472 tons) and Germany (356 tons) - together made up 7.5% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for France (with a CAGR of +7.7%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Dominican Republic ($35M) constitutes the largest market for imported smoked herrings worldwide, comprising 46% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by France ($12M), with a 15% share of global imports. It was followed by the United States, with a 12% share.

In the Dominican Republic, smoked herring imports expanded at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: France (+4.5% per year) and the United States (+6.9% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average smoked herring import price stood at $4,246 per ton in 2022, growing by 25% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.8%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($6,167 per ton), while France ($2,438 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Haiti (+5.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Smoked Herrings

In 2022, global smoked herring exports contracted modestly to 18K tons, dropping by -4.3% on 2021. In general, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when exports increased by 24% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 22K tons. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, smoked herring exports stood at $66M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when exports increased by 11%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Canada prevails in exports structure, reaching 13K tons, which was near 75% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Belarus (1.5K tons) and China (1K tons), together generating a 14% share of total exports. The Netherlands (544 tons) and Lithuania (294 tons) held a little share of total exports.

Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of smoked herrings. At the same time, China (+165.9%) and Belarus (+58.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, China emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +165.9% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Lithuania (-1.8%) and the Netherlands (-3.3%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Belarus (+8.1 p.p.) and China (+5.4 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2012-2022, the share of the Netherlands (-1.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Canada ($50M) remains the largest smoked herring supplier worldwide, comprising 75% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($3.4M), with a 5.2% share of global exports. It was followed by Belarus, with a 5.2% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Canada stood at +4.1%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+185.0% per year) and Belarus (+46.4% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average smoked herring export price amounted to $3,695 per ton, with an increase of 10% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.4%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 15%. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($4,752 per ton), while Belarus ($2,340 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+7.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform