Prepared Mustard Market

The global market for prepared mustard is experiencing steady growth, with consumption expected to rise in the coming years. China, the United States, and India are key consumers, driving market expansion. Leading exporters include the United States, France, and Canada. With increasing demand worldwide, the market is forecasted to continue growing both in volume and value, indicating a positive outlook for the industry.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for prepared mustard worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 5.4M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.5% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $14.3B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Prepared Mustard

In 2022, approx. 4.1M tons of prepared mustard were consumed worldwide; with an increase of 2.5% on 2021. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -3.0% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume at 4.3M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

The global prepared mustard market size totaled $9.3B in 2022, picking up by 3.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level at $9.5B in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (591K tons) remains the largest prepared mustard consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 14% of total volume. Moreover, prepared mustard consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (277K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (235K tons), with a 5.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China totaled +5.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+3.3% per year) and India (+5.0% per year).

In value terms, the largest prepared mustard markets worldwide were China ($1.8B), Japan ($1.5B) and the United States ($383M), together comprising 40% of the global market. India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Russia, France, Mexico and Brazil lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 19%.

Ethiopia, with a CAGR of +10.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of prepared mustard per capita consumption in 2022 were Japan (1,265 kg per 1000 persons), France (1,199 kg per 1000 persons) and Russia (828 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +8.6%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Prepared Mustard

In 2022, approx. 4.1M tons of prepared mustard were produced worldwide; with an increase of 2.7% on the previous year's figure. Overall, the total production indicated a buoyant expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -2.6% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 13%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 4.2M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, prepared mustard production expanded to $9.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 16%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum level at $9.2B in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (589K tons), the United States (319K tons) and India (235K tons), together accounting for 28% of global production. Pakistan, Japan, Nigeria, Russia, Bangladesh, Brazil, Indonesia, France, Ethiopia and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 28%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Nigeria (with a CAGR of +11.5%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Prepared Mustard

Global prepared mustard imports fell slightly to 209K tons in 2022, waning by -1.9% on the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when imports increased by 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 213K tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, prepared mustard imports amounted to $438M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

Canada (20K tons), the United States (14K tons), the UK (13K tons), France (12K tons), the Netherlands (10K tons), Belgium (9.1K tons), Germany (7K tons), Spain (6.8K tons), Japan (6.4K tons), South Korea (6.1K tons), Poland (4.5K tons) and Mali (4.4K tons) represented roughly 55% of total imports in 2022. Mexico (4.4K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Mali (with a CAGR of +16.1%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($42M), Canada ($30M) and France ($29M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for 23% of global imports. The UK, Japan, the Netherlands, Germany, Belgium, Spain, South Korea, Mexico, Poland and Mali lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 33%.

Among the main importing countries, Mali, with a CAGR of +22.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average prepared mustard import price amounted to $2,094 per ton, growing by 14% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.2%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($2,951 per ton), while Mali ($1,244 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+7.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Prepared Mustard

In 2022, shipments abroad of prepared mustard increased by 0.7% to 211K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 11%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, prepared mustard exports expanded markedly to $428M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 17% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2022, the United States (56K tons), distantly followed by France (31K tons), Germany (23K tons), the Netherlands (15K tons) and Canada (13K tons) were the largest exporters of prepared mustard, together committing 66% of total exports. The following exporters - Poland (8.6K tons), Belgium (7.8K tons), the Czech Republic (7.6K tons), the UK (4.9K tons), Russia (3.5K tons) and Ukraine (3.2K tons) - together made up 17% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of +9.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($84M), France ($78M) and Canada ($46M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, with a combined 48% share of global exports. Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Belgium, the UK, the Czech Republic, Russia and Ukraine lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

Among the main exporting countries, Russia, with a CAGR of +9.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average prepared mustard export price stood at $2,031 per ton in 2022, increasing by 9.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($3,539 per ton), while the Czech Republic ($906 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+7.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform