Orange Juice (Single Strength) Market

The article analyzes the global market for orange juice (single strength), highlighting the expected increase in consumption trends over the next eight years. Market performance is forecasted to expand with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for volume and +6.6% for value from 2022 to 2030. The United States is the largest consumer of orange juice, while Brazil is the largest producer and exporter. The article provides insights into consumption, production, import, and export trends in the global market for orange juice (single strength).

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for orange juice (single strength) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 3.9M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +6.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $3.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Orange Juice (Single Strength)

In 2022, consumption of orange juice (single strength) decreased by -0.3% to 3.1M tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year rising trend. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 3.2M tons in 2021, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

The global orange juice (single strength) market size amounted to $2.2B in 2022, approximately reflecting the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market reached the maximum level at $2.3B in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The United States (934K tons) remains the largest orange juice (single strength) consuming country worldwide, accounting for 30% of total volume. Moreover, orange juice (single strength) consumption in the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, France (380K tons), twofold. The UK (369K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in the United States totaled +29.9%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: France (+0.5% per year) and the UK (+13.4% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($608M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by the UK ($291M). It was followed by France.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in the United States amounted to +26.2%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: the UK (+13.2% per year) and France (-0.5% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of orange juice (single strength) per capita consumption in 2022 were France (5.6 kg per person), the UK (5.4 kg per person) and Canada (5.3 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +29.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Orange Juice (Single Strength)

After four years of growth, production of orange juice (single strength) decreased by -0.2% to 3.3M tons in 2022. In general, production, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when the production volume increased by 1.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 3.3M tons in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, orange juice (single strength) production fell slightly to $2.3B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 10%. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $2.3B in 2021, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Production By Country

Brazil (2M tons) remains the largest orange juice (single strength) producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 60% of total volume. Moreover, orange juice (single strength) production in Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (281K tons), sevenfold. Spain (251K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 7.6% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in Brazil was relatively modest. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+0.6% per year) and Spain (+0.1% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Orange Juice (Single Strength)

For the third consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in supplies from abroad of orange juice (single strength), which increased by 2.7% to 3.3M tons in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated tangible growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +17.4% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 32%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, orange juice (single strength) imports reduced modestly to $2.2B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when imports increased by 18%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $2.2B in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, the United States (694K tons), Belgium (474K tons), the Netherlands (441K tons), France (403K tons) and the UK (378K tons) represented the largest importer of orange juice (single strength) in the world, making up 73% of total import. It was distantly followed by Germany (244K tons) and Canada (206K tons), together achieving a 14% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of +20.9%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest orange juice (single strength) importing markets worldwide were the United States ($369M), the UK ($296M) and France ($281M), together accounting for 43% of global imports.

The United States, with a CAGR of +13.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average orange juice (single strength) import price amounted to $671 per ton, reducing by -3.3% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a mild shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 9.1% against the previous year. Global import price peaked at $850 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($840 per ton), while Belgium ($524 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the UK (-0.2%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Exports

World Exports of Orange Juice (Single Strength)

In 2022, the amount of orange juice (single strength) exported worldwide totaled 3.5M tons, with an increase of 2.7% compared with 2021. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, orange juice (single strength) exports stood at $2.2B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Brazil (1.7M tons) was the main exporter of orange juice (single strength), committing 50% of total exports. Belgium (430K tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by the Netherlands (359K tons), Spain (250K tons) and Germany (232K tons). All these countries together held approx. 37% share of total exports. Mexico (128K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to orange juice (single strength) exports from Brazil stood at +5.8%. At the same time, Mexico (+26.4%), Spain (+3.1%) and the Netherlands (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Mexico emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +26.4% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Belgium (-2.1%) and Germany (-2.3%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Brazil (+16 p.p.) and Mexico (+3.3 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while Germany and Belgium saw its share reduced by -3.5% and -6.1% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Brazil ($629M), Belgium ($316M) and the Netherlands ($257M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together accounting for 56% of global exports. Germany, Spain and Mexico lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 23%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Mexico, with a CAGR of +24.3%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average orange juice (single strength) export price stood at $623 per ton in 2022, stabilizing at the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the average export price increased by 6.5%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure at $705 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($888 per ton), while Brazil ($365 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+1.9%), while the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform