World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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The global green coffee market is projected to see growth in both volume and value terms from 2022 to 2030. Consumption reached 11M tons in 2022, with top consuming countries being the United States, Brazil, and Germany. Production stood at 11M tons in 2022, with Brazil, Vietnam, and Indonesia being key producers. Import and export volumes also saw increases, with the United States and Germany leading in imports, while Brazil and Colombia were top exporters. Average green coffee prices and yields varied among countries, reflecting overall trends in the market.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for coffee (green) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 13M tons by the end of 2030.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $49.5B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.
Consumption
World Consumption of Green Coffee
In 2022, approx. 11M tons of coffee (green) were consumed worldwide; growing by 4.7% against 2021 figures. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 12M tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the global consumption remained at a lower figure.
The global green coffee market revenue skyrocketed to $35.8B in 2022, increasing by 24% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. As a result, consumption attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (1.4M tons), Brazil (1M tons) and Germany (962K tons), together accounting for 30% of global consumption. Italy, Vietnam, Japan, Indonesia, Central African Republic, Spain, Guinea, Ethiopia, France and Switzerland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Guinea (with a CAGR of +102.3%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the United States ($6.1B), Germany ($3.6B) and Brazil ($2.5B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2022, with a combined 34% share of the global market. Italy, Japan, Switzerland, Vietnam, Ethiopia, Indonesia, France, Spain, Central African Republic and Guinea lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.
Guinea, with a CAGR of +94.4%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In 2022, the highest levels of green coffee per capita consumption was registered in Central African Republic (61 kg per person), followed by Switzerland (23 kg per person), Guinea (19 kg per person) and Germany (12 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of green coffee was estimated at 1.4 kg per person.
From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the green coffee per capita consumption in Central African Republic amounted to +44.8%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Switzerland (+4.3% per year) and Guinea (+97.0% per year).
Production
World Production of Green Coffee
In 2022, global production of coffee (green) stood at 11M tons, flattening at 2021. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 12%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 12M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a modest increase of the harvested area and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.
In value terms, green coffee production expanded to $25.8B in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, showed a slight slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $30.7B in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Brazil (3.2M tons), Vietnam (2M tons) and Indonesia (795K tons), with a combined 54% share of global production. Colombia, Ethiopia, Uganda, Honduras, Peru, India, Central African Republic, Guinea, Guatemala and Mexico lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.
From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Central African Republic (with a CAGR of +46.0%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Yield
In 2022, the global average yield of coffee (green) expanded to 892 kg per ha, with an increase of 4.4% against 2021. Over the period under review, the yield, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the yield increased by 11% against the previous year. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of 1.1 tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the average green coffee yield failed to regain momentum.
Harvested Area
In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of coffee (green) production worldwide shrank to 12M ha, falling by -3.2% against the previous year's figure. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the harvested area increased by 10% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of 13M ha, and then dropped modestly in the following year.
Imports
World Imports of Green Coffee
In 2022, approx. 7.8M tons of coffee (green) were imported worldwide; with an increase of 5.3% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
In value terms, green coffee imports surged to $32B in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +74.4% against 2019 indices. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Imports By Country
The United States (1.4M tons) and Germany (1.2M tons) represented the major importers of coffee (green) in 2022, reaching approx. 18% and 15% of total imports, respectively. Italy (673K tons) took an 8.6% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Belgium (4.9%) and Japan (4.9%). The following importers - Spain (321K tons), the Netherlands (232K tons), France (213K tons), Canada (203K tons), Switzerland (199K tons), Russia (195K tons), the UK (177K tons) and South Korea (176K tons) - together made up 22% of total imports.
From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +10.8%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the United States ($7.1B), Germany ($4.8B) and Italy ($2.3B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 44% of global imports. Japan, Belgium, Switzerland, Canada, Spain, the Netherlands, France, South Korea, the UK and Russia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
In terms of the main importing countries, the Netherlands, with a CAGR of +10.9%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country
The average green coffee import price stood at $4,076 per ton in 2022, increasing by 39% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($5,422 per ton), while Russia ($2,934 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Korea (+2.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
World Exports of Green Coffee
Global green coffee exports totaled 7.6M tons in 2022, leveling off at 2021. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when exports increased by 19%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.
In value terms, green coffee exports soared to $28.9B in 2022. In general, total exports indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +68.4% against 2019 indices. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Exports By Country
In 2022, Brazil (2.1M tons), distantly followed by Vietnam (1,353K tons), Colombia (625K tons), Indonesia (435K tons) and Honduras (354K tons) were the key exporters of coffee (green), together comprising 64% of total exports. Uganda (313K tons), Belgium (274K tons), Ethiopia (273K tons), India (270K tons), Peru (237K tons), Guatemala (194K tons), Germany (193K tons) and Nicaragua (156K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Uganda (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Brazil ($8.5B) remains the largest green coffee supplier worldwide, comprising 29% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Colombia ($4B), with a 14% share of global exports. It was followed by Vietnam, with a 9.8% share.
In Brazil, green coffee exports increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Colombia (+7.6% per year) and Vietnam (-2.1% per year).
Export Prices By Country
In 2022, the average green coffee export price amounted to $3,783 per ton, rising by 33% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.2%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Colombia ($6,342 per ton), while Uganda ($1,821 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Guatemala (+3.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global green coffee market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- FCL 656 - Coffee green
Country coverage:
Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:
- USA
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
+ the largest producing countries
Data coverage:
- Global market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Global production, split by region and country
- Global trade (exports and imports)
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Company coverage:
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE
- CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
- MOST TRADED PRODUCT
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
- PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
- HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS
The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed
- IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS
The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed
- EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO -
11. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2023
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Consumption, By Country, 2023
- Market Volume Forecast to 2030
- Market Value Forecast to 2030
- Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
- Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
- Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
- Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
- Production Volume And Growth
- Yield And Growth
- Exports And Growth
- Export Prices And Growth
- Market Size And Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports And Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Area Harvested, 2012–2023
- Yield, 2012–2023
- Production, By Country, 2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, 2012–2023
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Coffee prices remain highly volatile. In 2022, the average annual price for Arabica is forecast to decline thanks to expected production growth, while Robusta price will go up on skyrocketed demand from consumers, preferring cheaper alternatives to more expensive counterparts.
Global prices for coffee have skyrocketed to a seven-year high, driven by fears of a significant reduction in production in Brazil due to freezes and the depletion of global stocks. Further growth in prices for the product will be stimulated by the reduction in production in other leading supplying countries such as Honduras and Indonesia, coupled with increased freight costs. A decrease in coffee production will lead to a fall in global exports by -4% y-o-y, which could lead to local imbalances in supply and demand and drive up consumer prices in key European and American markets.
Coffee yield figures remained robust in 2020 and coffee bean exports increased, despite the disruption to supply chains caused by the Coronavirus restrictions. Home coffee consumption surged, thereby helping to offset the slump in sales following the closure of the HoReCa segment. Average coffee prices remained growing gradually through to Q1 2021.
Global green coffee consumption amounted to X thousand tons in 2015, ascending by +X% against the previous year level.
Global green coffee exports amounted to X thousand tons in 2015, declining by -X% against the previous year level.
Global green coffee imports amounted to X thousand tons in 2015, jumping by +X% against the previous year level.
In 2015, the countries with the highest levels of green coffee production were Brazil (X thousand tons), Vietnam (X thousand tons), Colombia (X thousand tons), together accounting for X% of total output.
Brazil continued its dominance in the global green coffee trade. In 2014, Brazil exported X thousand tons of green coffee totaling X million USD, X% over the previous year. Its primary trading partner was Germany, where it supplied X% of it
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