Drawing Chalk Market

The global drawing chalk market is expected to see growth in both volume and value over the next eight years. Consumption trends have shown relatively flat patterns, with peak levels in the past. The top consuming countries include the United States, India, and China, with notable growth rates in Nigeria. Production and import trends have also experienced fluctuations, with China dominating production and export structures. The average import and export prices have shown stability over the years, with differences among major exporting countries.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for drawing chalk worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 153K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.5% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $618M (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Pastels, Drawing Charcoals, Writing Or Drawing Chalks

In 2022, approx. 131K tons of pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks were consumed worldwide; approximately equating the year before. Overall, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume at 142K tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global drawing chalk market value stood at $471M in 2022, approximately reflecting the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $512M. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the global market remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (26K tons), India (14K tons) and China (10K tons), together accounting for 38% of global consumption. Nigeria, Indonesia, Germany, Mexico, Russia, Canada, the UK, South Africa, Japan and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 23%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Nigeria (with a CAGR of +4.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($116M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($38M). It was followed by China.

In the United States, the drawing chalk market expanded at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+3.5% per year) and China (-6.6% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of drawing chalk per capita consumption in 2022 were the United States (78 kg per 1000 persons), Canada (58 kg per 1000 persons) and Germany (40 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of +3.4%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Pastels, Drawing Charcoals, Writing Or Drawing Chalks

In 2022, production of pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks increased by 1.3% to 151K tons, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. Overall, production recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when the production volume increased by 8.2% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 156K tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, drawing chalk production rose significantly to $537M in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a mild curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 9.4%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level at $656M in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

China (91K tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of drawing chalk production, accounting for 60% of total volume. Moreover, drawing chalk production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (10K tons), ninefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by France (7.2K tons), with a 4.8% share.

In China, drawing chalk production increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+1.4% per year) and France (+0.2% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Pastels, Drawing Charcoals, Writing Or Drawing Chalks

In 2022, supplies from abroad of pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks increased by 9.1% to 110K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after three years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

In value terms, drawing chalk imports rose notably to $427M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 21%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The United States was the key importer of pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks in the world, with the volume of imports reaching 28K tons, which was near 25% of total imports in 2022. Germany (4.9K tons), the Netherlands (4.6K tons), India (4.6K tons), Indonesia (3.6K tons), the UK (2.6K tons), France (2.5K tons), South Africa (2.3K tons), Canada (2.3K tons), Mexico (2K tons), Spain (2K tons), Poland (1.8K tons) and Cameroon (1.7K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into the United States increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Cameroon (+9.5%), Indonesia (+7.1%), India (+6.6%), the Netherlands (+6.5%), Poland (+6.1%) and France (+5.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Cameroon emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +9.5% from 2012-2022. Germany, Canada, Spain, the UK and South Africa experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Mexico (-5.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of the United States, India and the Netherlands increased by +2.6, +1.5 and +1.5 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($121M) constitutes the largest market for imported pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks worldwide, comprising 28% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Germany ($22M), with a 5.2% share of global imports. It was followed by France, with a 4% share.

In the United States, drawing chalk imports expanded at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Germany (+5.1% per year) and France (+6.8% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average drawing chalk import price stood at $3,891 per ton in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 5.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum at $4,004 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($6,936 per ton), while Cameroon ($1,305 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Indonesia (+4.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Pastels, Drawing Charcoals, Writing Or Drawing Chalks

In 2022, shipments abroad of pastels, drawing charcoals, writing or drawing chalks increased by 10% to 129K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after three years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 22%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, drawing chalk exports skyrocketed to $464M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +5.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

China dominates exports structure, recording 82K tons, which was near 63% of total exports in 2022. France (8K tons) held a 6.2% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Indonesia (5.3%). Thailand (3.7K tons), the Netherlands (3.7K tons), Belgium (3.6K tons), Vietnam (2.7K tons) and Mexico (2.1K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from China increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Vietnam (+30.8%), Indonesia (+11.6%), Belgium (+9.4%), the Netherlands (+9.0%), France (+2.5%) and Thailand (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +30.8% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Mexico (-3.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of China (+6.4 p.p.), Indonesia (+2.9 p.p.) and Vietnam (+1.9 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2012-2022, the share of Mexico (-1.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($260M) remains the largest drawing chalk supplier worldwide, comprising 56% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by France ($20M), with a 4.3% share of global exports. It was followed by the Netherlands, with a 3.8% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China totaled +8.7%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: France (+1.3% per year) and the Netherlands (+8.4% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average drawing chalk export price amounted to $3,589 per ton, picking up by 6.1% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.9%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Vietnam ($5,219 per ton), while Belgium ($1,539 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+4.2%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform