Brazil Nut Market

The global brazil nut market is expected to grow steadily from 2022 to 2030, with consumption reaching 147K tons and market value hitting $432M by the end of the forecast period. Nigeria, Bolivia, and Brazil are the top consuming countries, while Nigeria, Brazil, and Bolivia are the leading producers. Peru dominates import structure, while Brazil and Afghanistan lead in exports. Import price varied significantly among countries, with the Netherlands having the highest price and Bolivia the lowest. Market prices have shown a mix of growth and decline over the years, with noticeable fluctuations in export prices.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for brazil nuts worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 147K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $432M (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Brazil Nuts

In 2022, the amount of brazil nuts consumed worldwide totaled 127K tons, remaining stable against the previous year. In general, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 133K tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the global consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global brazil nut market revenue rose notably to $316M in 2022, surging by 10% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, showed a pronounced decline. Global consumption peaked at $456M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were Nigeria (32K tons), Bolivia (31K tons) and Brazil (25K tons), with a combined 69% share of global consumption. Peru, Indonesia, Spain and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 23%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Ghana (with a CAGR of +37.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Nigeria ($91M), Bolivia ($72M) and Peru ($66M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2022, with a combined 72% share of the global market. Brazil, Indonesia, Spain and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 17%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Ghana, with a CAGR of +42.8%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the highest levels of brazil nut per capita consumption was registered in Bolivia (2,558 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Peru (389 kg per 1000 persons), Nigeria (148 kg per 1000 persons) and Brazil (116 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of brazil nut was estimated at 16 kg per 1000 persons.

In Bolivia, brazil nut per capita consumption remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Peru (+4.6% per year) and Nigeria (-0.4% per year).

Production

World Production of Brazil Nuts

In 2022, production of brazil nuts decreased by -0.2% to 138K tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the production volume increased by 8.2%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak volume at 140K tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a relatively flat trend pattern of the harvested area and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

In value terms, brazil nut production totaled $249M in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the production volume increased by 47% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $250M in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Nigeria (34K tons), Brazil (33K tons) and Bolivia (32K tons), with a combined 72% share of global production. Indonesia, Afghanistan, Peru and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 20%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Afghanistan (with a CAGR of +2.3%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Brazil Nuts

In 2022, the amount of brazil nuts imported worldwide dropped sharply to 9.7K tons, reducing by -26.8% compared with the previous year's figure. Overall, imports recorded a deep setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by 72% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports reached the maximum at 17K tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, brazil nut imports shrank to $20M in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a abrupt descent. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 57% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $36M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

Peru dominates imports structure, accounting for 6.2K tons, which was near 64% of total imports in 2022. Bolivia (621 tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 6.4% share, followed by the United States (4.7%). The following importers - China (315 tons), Vietnam (313 tons), Spain (226 tons), Italy (181 tons), Tunisia (176 tons), Saudi Arabia (171 tons), France (153 tons) and the Netherlands (152 tons) - together made up 17% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to brazil nut imports into Peru stood at +12.3%. At the same time, Saudi Arabia (+33.5%) and France (+15.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Saudi Arabia emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +33.5% from 2012-2022. The Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Vietnam (-1.2%), Bolivia (-3.1%), the United States (-3.5%), Tunisia (-7.1%), Italy (-11.9%), China (-16.6%) and Spain (-16.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Peru (+52 p.p.) and Saudi Arabia (+1.8 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while Italy, Spain and China saw its share reduced by -1.9%, -6.1% and -8.1% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Peru ($9.4M) constitutes the largest market for imported brazil nuts worldwide, comprising 46% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($2.2M), with an 11% share of global imports. It was followed by China, with a 6.6% share.

In Peru, brazil nut imports expanded at an average annual rate of +19.9% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United States (-2.6% per year) and China (-10.0% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average brazil nut import price amounted to $2,096 per ton, jumping by 27% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 39%. Global import price peaked at $2,372 per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($6,620 per ton), while Bolivia ($647 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+7.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Brazil Nuts

In 2022, shipments abroad of brazil nuts decreased by -21.2% to 21K tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, exports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 73%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 29K tons. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, brazil nut exports contracted markedly to $29M in 2022. Overall, exports saw a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 114%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at $53M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports By Country

Brazil (8.4K tons) and Afghanistan (7.2K tons) dominates exports structure, together committing 75% of total exports. Bolivia (1.9K tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by Nigeria (1.6K tons). All these countries together took near 17% share of total exports. The United Arab Emirates (494 tons) held a little share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Afghanistan (with a CAGR of +75.5%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($13M) emerged as the largest brazil nut supplier worldwide, comprising 45% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Bolivia ($5.2M), with an 18% share of global exports. It was followed by Nigeria, with a 16% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Brazil stood at -4.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Bolivia (+11.2% per year) and Nigeria (-12.8% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average brazil nut export price stood at $1,386 per ton in 2022, growing by 2.3% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, showed a abrupt descent. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $2,675 per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($2,851 per ton), while Afghanistan ($264 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Bolivia (+2.7%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform